Determining Energy Savings Using Utility Bills: A Winning Method for ESCOS

Introduction: Energy Savings Tracking Methodssometimes leading to mistrust.  Energy savings
After installing energy conservation measurescalculations should remain as simple as possible and
(ECMs), Energy Service Companies (ESCOs) oftenexplained in a manner that the customer can
determine the energy savings resulting from theunderstand.  This makes the customer's job
project and present the savings results to theireasier, and reassures the customer that the
customers.  A common way to calculate energyenergy service company is acting in a truthful
savings is to measure the flows of energymanner.
associated with the ECM, and then to applyFor these reason, more and more customers ask
spreadsheet calculations to determine savings. for Measurement and Verification using utility bills.
For example, a chiller retrofit would might require 
measurements of chilled water supply and returnDifficult and Interactive Energy Conservation
temperatures and kW.  The benefit of thisMeasures
approach is that the ECM is isolated, and that onlyFor many energy conservation measures, Retrofit
energy flows associated with the ECM itself areIsolation is the best option.  This would include
considered.  lighting savings, savings from energy efficient
This method is described as Option A or Option Bmotors, and from other non-weather dependent
in the International Performance Measurement andenergy users.  
Verification Protocol (IPMVP).  Table 1 presentsHowever it is very difficult or impossible to
the different options.  Option A requires somemeasure savings for some energy conservation
measurement and allows for estimations of somemeasures.  Still, some ESCOs insist on using
parameters.  Option B requires measurement ofRetrofit Isolation for these difficult measures. 
all parameters.  In both options, calculations areFor example, engineering calculations can be made
done (typically in spreadsheets) to determineestimating the savings to be had by shutting
what energy savings.  Option C uses utility bills todown air handlers at night.  But, assuming that
determine energy savings.  the air handlers receive chilled water from a chilled
Some ESCOs Have Limited Optionswater loop shared with other air handlers, how is
There are many situations where Option A orone to measure energy savings?  Fan savings
Option B (Metering and Calculating) is the bestare easy (assuming the unit is constant volume),
approach to measuring energy savings, however,but in order to calculate savings, several
some ESCOs insist upon only using Option A orestimations need to be made, which result in an
Option B, when clearly Option C would be mostestimate of energy savings, just as accurate
appropriate.  If the ESCO was a lightingbefore the retrofit took place as after it took
contractor, then Option A should work in allplace.  Suppose the unit is a VAV system, at
cases.  Spot measurements of fixtures beforewhat percentage would the fan have been
and after, agreed upon hours of operation, andrunning?  Suppose the cooling coil and/or heating
simple calculations can be inserted into acoil modulated to meet a changing supply air set
spreadsheet that can calculate savings.  Thepoint - how are the fan CFM, cooling and heating
same spreadsheet can be used over and over. loads to be calculated if the unit is not running and
However, for ESCOs that offer a variety ofmeasurements can not be made?
different retrofits, it is necessary to be able toControls retrofits are difficult to measure and
employ all options so that the best option can bequantify directly.  Usually, however, when a
selected for each individual job.  Controlscontrols or commissioning measure is enacted,
Retrofits, or retrofits to HVAC systems aremore than one item is adjusted, which further
typically excellent candidates for Option C.complicates an already difficult task.  Suppose a
However there are drawbacks with metering andpartially working economizer was fixed, in addition
calculating savings and these can include:  to putting the fan on a variable speed drive, in
-    Greater expenseaddition to shutting off the air handler during
-    Difficulties convincing the customer of theunoccupied hours, and finally upgrading the chiller
appropriateness and veracity of the method andplant.  Each of these measures would interfere
savings numberswith the savings calculations of the other.  How
-    Inability to handle interactive or manycan one calculate chiller savings, when the loads
difficult ECMs.have changed so dramatically via the economizer,
ESCOs that do not have the capacity to employreduced hours and reduced air flow?  This is a
all options are at a disadvantage over thosevery difficult task, that most likely cannot be
ESCOs that can employ them all.  Specifically, wedone with an acceptable degree of certainty.  
want to address those ESCOs that only employComplicated cases like this require utility bill
Option A and Option B.  These ESCOs mayanalysis to measure and quantify savings.  The
encounter the following problems due to theirprocedure is very simple, inexpensive, and easy
limited offerings:to explain relative to many Retrofit Isolation
-    Measurement and Verification costs can bemethods.
greater, which lead to higher project costs, whichBenefits of Utility Bill Analysis
can limit the energy projects that the ESCO canThe benefits of utility bill analysis to calculate
sell.  The lack of Measurement and Verificationenergy project savings are as follows:
options overall can make the ESCO less-    Utility Bill Analysis, by its nature, is relatively
competitive, and hurt the financial performance ofsimple, and does not require complicated
the ESCO.engineering analysis.  
-    Using Options A or B sometimes require-    Utility Bill Analysis is relatively inexpensive,
the customer to understand and approve ofas it requires less skilled workers, less time and no
complex energy calculations.  These options arededicated equipment.
often difficult to explain to customers who insist-    Utility Bill Analysis provides savings numbers
upon seeing savings in their utility bills.  Customerin a format and method that makes sense to the
satisfaction can suffer if Option C is not madecustomer.  
available to customers who want to see savings-    Utility Bill Analysis is the best method to
on their bills.handle complicated energy conservation projects,
-    Options A and B cannot handle difficultor projects which interact with each other,
ECMs.  The methods used to determine savingsmaking assessment of individual measures
are inaccurate, and make large assumptions thatimpossible.
cannot be borne out if a third party consultant is-    ESCOs can use the fact that energy
hired to oversee the savings determinationsavings is determined using the customers' utility
process.bills as a selling point.
These issues are discussed in more detail below.Utility Bill Analysis and Changes in Weather
Cost of Utility Bill Analysis vs. Metering andUnfortunately, a simple comparison of pre-retrofit
Calculatingand post-retrofit utility bills is usually not an
Measurement and Verification should costeffective method to determine energy savings
between 1% and 15% of the project cost. from ECMs.  Weather varies from year to year,
Metering and calculating savings often has costsand affects the amount of heating or cooling
associated with labor and equipment.  As manyenergy usage, which can interfere with actual
project configurations are different, projectsutility savings numbers.  For a fair analysis, utility
typically require unique configurations of sensors,bills should be "corrected" for weather data, which
placements of sensors and savings calculations. results in a reasonable savings determination. 
On more complicated ECMs, only highly skilledLinear regression is applied to utility usage versus
energy professionals can determine whichdegree days to determine pre-retrofit utility usage
measurement devices should be applied, and topatterns, which are then compared to
what components.  Manipulating data, and finallypost-retrofit utility usage to determine savings. 
creating spreadsheets with engineering calculationsUnfortunately, the scope of this paper is limited,
also requires skilled personnel who command highand cannot present the method in detail. 
wages.  Metering equipment also has a cost, andWeather-correcting for weather is easy,
for many projects, metering equipment, orhowever, as specialized software, used by ESCOs
control points, have to be purchased, and remainaround the world, simplifies the weather
on the job for years.  correction process and presents savings reports.
Of course, there are cases where metering andDrawbacks of Utility Bill Analysis
calculating is the least expensive and the mostFacilities may change their energy usage patterns,
desirable method.  If an ESCO only provides aby installing more equipment, building additions,
lighting retrofit, then measuring a selection ofoccupancy changes, etc.  This upsets the existing
lighting fixtures before and after the retrofit, andutility bill comparison of pre-retrofit to post-retrofit
producing a spreadsheet that determines savingsusage.  These changes need to be monitored
is the best option.  and accounted for with Baseline Modifications.  
On the other hand, utility bill analysis isThere is a certain amount of randomness in utility
inexpensive.  With specialized utility bill analysisbill comparison.  So many factors influence the
software, clerical workers can create theamount of energy usage in any given month, and
Measurement and Verification analysis.  Bills arethey cannot all be accounted for.  As a result, if
entered, weather imported, a linear regressionyou are trying to show savings that is less than
performed, and reports made.  Capital need not10% of the total electricity load, then the
be sunk into metering equipment or control pointsrandomness in the bills may seriously interfere
or into long hours of analysis and datawith the accuracy of your savings calculations.
manipulation.  Typically for utility bill analysis,If you track savings by comparing utility bills, you
measurement and verification costs are a fractionwill only be able to track total savings for a given
of what costs for retrofit isolation savings are -meter, but you will not be able to separate out
ranging between 1 and 5% of project costs.the savings for different Energy Conservation
Explaining Savings Numbers to CustomersMeasures (ECMs).  For example, if you installed a
Customers understand utility bills.  The reasonlighting retrofit, an energy efficient chiller and a
they entered into an energy savings contract iscontrol system in a hospital, you will not be able
often triggered by the desire to lower theirto tell how much energy is being saved by the
energy bills.  Retrofit Isolation methods do notcontrol system.  Energy analysts try to do break
address the customer's utility bill.  A project mayout the savings for each ECM occasionally, but
be saving energy, but the utility bill may actuallythey are only making educated guesses.  
be increasing.  Retrofit Isolation does not addressConclusion
this at all.  ESCOs need to be responsive toWhen an ESCO approaches a performance
customer's needs, and this is done throughcontract, there are several measurement and
communicating in a manner that the customer'sverification options available.  Those ESCOs that
understand.  They want to see the savings ononly have at their disposal a limited set of options
their utility bills - this is a method they would trust.are often spending too much money on
 measurement and verification, and therefore are
In addition, customers are sometimes mistrustfulheld back from selling larger projects, and limit
of energy service companies that provide savingstheir own success.
numbers that the customer cannot understand. Customer satisfaction may suffer when ESCOs
Although the calculations in the spreadsheet mayonly offer Retrofit Isolation approaches to
appear perfectly reasonable to the energyMeasurement and Verification, as customers may
analyst, to a customer who is not well-versed inwant to see savings in their utility bills.  ESCOs
math, the calculations may remainwho refuse to speak in the same language or
incomprehensible, and the customer is therebyterms as the customer may suffer decreased
required to trust the energy service company,customer satisfaction.