| >c. 2004 Chris S. Orr CCM | | | | with the forecast to predict store volume. Their |
| Weather affects every aspect of our lives. It | | | | stores in southern California even give discounts |
| impacts our pocketbooks, our menus, our | | | | on rainy days. |
| schedules and even our health. | | | | Let me pose a question to youÂ…how much do |
| We are aware of how cold weather drives up the | | | | you think the weather affects your daily |
| price of natural gas and propane (just look at | | | | schedule? Now, I don't mean being a minute late |
| your heating bills from this year!) and how our | | | | to work because you had to run back in the |
| insurance costs are adjusted for the amount of | | | | house and grab an umbrella, but how does the |
| storm damage we sustain. Changes in the | | | | weather seriously impact your plans? |
| weather, either real or predicted, will affect the | | | | Are you flying anywhere this summer? Fog, |
| price of everything we buy, from peas to | | | | thunderstorms, freezing rain and heavy snow still |
| plywood. Sometimes the effect will be in our | | | | halt flights and probably will for many years. It is |
| favor, sometimes it won't. How much did you pay | | | | just too dangerous to fly in any of those |
| for vegetables last winter? Why are limes -- small | | | | conditions. You'd think that with all of our |
| and hard as they are -- so expensive right now? | | | | technology we could fly aircraft into any sort of |
| Is the quality of lettuce comparable to its price? | | | | weather! You can avoid the inconvenience of flight |
| Contract prices on the Chicago Board of Trade | | | | delays by planning around the weather. Fog is |
| are very weather sensitive. Weather has such a | | | | most common in late fall and early spring, and |
| huge impact on the commodities market that | | | | usually lifts to a tolerable level by 10 a.m. Los |
| traders and analysts pay hundreds and even | | | | Angeles, Denver, Salt Lake City and San Francisco |
| thousands of dollars a month for commentaries | | | | get a lot of early morning fog during the winter. |
| on long-range weather forecasts. These | | | | Plan to arrive at those destinations during the |
| commentaries make the rounds among traders | | | | afternoon to avoid flight delays. |
| and analysts two or three times a week. Based | | | | On the other hand, summer thunderstorms rattle |
| on these commentaries, the price of grain, cattle, | | | | the windows around Denver during the late |
| beans, and all sorts of agriculture products is | | | | afternoon and evening, while Phoenix sees windy |
| driven up or down. | | | | evening thunderstorms. Arrive by mid afternoon |
| Traders look for the elusive normal weather. If | | | | to avoid these nuisance storms. If you are |
| the summer rainfall forecast for the C Corn Belt | | | | heading into the Midwest, thunderstorms tend to |
| of Nebraska, Iowa, and Illinois is for above normal | | | | roll into Chicago and St. Louis after midnight, |
| rainfall, futures may rise in anticipation of the crop | | | | delaying red-eye flights. Just a little planning will |
| getting too much moisture, stunting its growth. | | | | save you the hassle of finding something to do at |
| The same principle applies if the forecast is for | | | | the airport while waiting for the next flight, or |
| too little rainfall. If the forecast calls for near | | | | worse yet, missing a connecting flight and ruining |
| normal rainfall, invariably the price of corn will fall in | | | | your vacation. |
| anticipation of a very good crop and too many | | | | Did you know that today's weather will affect the |
| bushels of corn on the market in the fall and | | | | aches and pains you will feel in two or three |
| winter. In other words, if the trading price is high, | | | | days? At least that is what some physicians |
| you'll pay more at the grocery store; if it is low | | | | believe. I always thought today's weather brought |
| because of "normal" weather, you pay less. | | | | me today's aches and pains, but it appears the |
| Are you planning to do a little construction later | | | | human body has a lag time of several days. It is |
| this summer? Buy plywood before the first | | | | possible to predict when you and I will feel these |
| tropical storm forms over the Atlantic Ocean. The | | | | aches, pains and migraines a day or two in |
| price of plywood soars as tropical storms and | | | | advance. Think of how wonderful it will be in the |
| hurricanes approach the coast of the United | | | | future when you can call the doctor and the |
| States. People in the path of these storms buy up | | | | appointment desk will have an opening available |
| plywood to "batten down the hatches," creating | | | | for you because your medical records matched |
| local shortages. Those shortages are filled by | | | | the criteria for today's aches-and-pains index! |
| drawing on supplies from the rest of the country, | | | | The use of weather information goes far beyond, |
| limiting stocks and driving up prices. | | | | "partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain." |
| Accurate weather forecasts help some | | | | The price of food and the convenience of having |
| businesses compete. The retailer Sears, Roebuck | | | | items stocked at your store, the mini-golf place |
| and Co. had its own meteorologists for many | | | | open when you'd like to go and the supply of |
| years so they could sell items based on the | | | | electricity for your home are all governed by the |
| weather. Fans and air conditioners were in stock | | | | weather. Your physical health is affected by the |
| before a heat wave hit. Umbrellas went on sale | | | | weather. Many of the things you will do this day |
| when it rained. Subway's corporate headquarters | | | | will be based on the weather - past, present and |
| tracks individual store sales against the weather. It | | | | future. |
| uses a history of weather and store sales along | | | | |