What to Look For When Predicting Swell

Understanding the weather and how it works is adirection for a few days. This was noticed
complex and sometimes confusing thing. Listeningrecently on the Gold Coast, Australia when a wind
to the weather man is sometimes easier andfetch of over 3000 nautical miles pointed swell
they tell you some of the information that youtowards the east coast of OZ and produced a
need to know about your local conditions.week long 6ft+ waves with offshore winds. This
However, have you ever wondered how youswell event is quite rare and in most cases
missed a excellent swell and conditions when theWestern coastlines would receive this type of
weather man has forcasted something different.swell action as most weather patterns move in a
Let me shed some light on the information youWest to East direction.
see on the weather map.Low pressure systems are generally what you
The lines that you see are called isobars. Theylook for when predicting swell because they
give you an indication of wind direction andcreate strong storms and wind patterns. During
strength. If the isobars are very close togetherthe seasons, winter is usually the best time to
that will indicate that there is strong windsreceive large waves as low pressure storms drift
connected with the weather pattern and lightfurther away from from the polar caps and into
winds if they are far apart. In the southernlarger areas of ocean.
hemisphere Low pressure systems spin in anThe next thing you need to know is that you
clockwise directions and high pressure systems inneed to understand you local area and the
a anti clockwise direction. The opposite will happenconditions that are needed to bring all the
in the northern hemisphere because the weatherelements together. Understanding tide times, local
is generally always trying to balance itself out.wind patterns and swell direction will generally give
So now that you have a basic understanding ofyou an idea on the best locations to head to for
isobars and wind direction you need to be lookingthe best surf. Once you get a grasp on
for isobars that are tight together and that theunderstanding the weather and how it all comes
wind direction is pointing towards your local beach.together, that next perfect surf may be just
This is called a fetch and this is what points thearound the corner with only you and a couple of
waves toward your beach. Wave fetches canmates out. Good luck with it all and remember
vary greatly from localized wind swells to largethat the weather changes all the time, so keep at
ground swells. Generally small wind swells are veryit and refer to the weather maps regularly, and
short fetches with light winds. Usually the longerwhen unexpected swells come in and check them
the fetch the larger the wave heights and theout and see how they were created.
swell. Large groundswell are usually formed whenI've been studying the weather for years and
strong low pressure systems create a windbandalways get excited when I see weather patterns
of considerable length and maintain a similar windcome together.